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Trends (short story) : ウィキペディア英語版
Trends (short story)

"Trends" is a science fiction short story by Isaac Asimov. It was first published in the July 1939 issue of ''Astounding Science Fiction'' and was reprinted in ''The Early Asimov'' (1972). "Trends" was the tenth story written by Asimov, the third to be published, and the first to appear in ''Astounding'', then the leading science fiction magazine.〔''The Early Asimov, Book One'', Isaac Asimov, 1972, p. 301.〕
==Origins==
The story had its genesis in research Asimov was conducting on behalf of an academic writing a book on social resistance to technological change. Asimov was particularly struck by a series of articles by Simon Newcomb from the early 20th century arguing that heavier-than-air flight was physically impossible. If there had been resistance to earlier technological change, then Asimov reasoned that there might be social resistance to spaceflight, which was a notion he had never encountered before in a science fiction story. In December 1938, Asimov wrote a story, which he originally titled "Ad Astra", that included resistance to a proposed flight to the Moon, submitting it to ''Astounding'' editor John W. Campbell on 21 December 1938. On 29 December 1938 Asimov received a letter from Campbell asking for a story conference. At the conference, Campbell said that he had never read a story that included resistance to space flight, that he liked the idea, and wanted Asimov to rewrite "Ad Astra" to make it central to the story. Asimov brought the revised version to Campbell on 24 January 1939, and Campbell accepted it, publishing it under the title "Trends".

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